Tuesday, March 8, 2011

Online Shopping in China

Last year, $82bn (£50.4bn) worth of retail sales in China were online transactions.
That is just about a tenth of the total retail sales, but a 95% increase on the value of internet transactions a year earlier.
Korea is the most developed online shopping market in Asia, followed by Japan, but China is catching up.
The researchers looked at why people here prefer to interact with a screen not a sales assistant.
Firstly, they found, there were the practicalities.
Retailers cannot keep up with the pace of urbanization.
As cities such as Shanghai sprawl further and further outwards in every direction, many people, younger families especially, find they can only afford to live in what you might call "dormitory suburbs", where new housing is cheaper to buy, but where the major retailers have not yet set up shop.
 
If they can buy online, and have the goods delivered to their door, they do not need to make the long journey downtown.
"I shop online for almost everything except groceries," says Qian Hu, a town planner who lives in a suburb.
"I live so far out it could take me two to three hours to go into town to shop.
"If I buy online, it comes to my house the same day. That's how quick the delivery is."
If she does not like it, the same delivery-man will come back to pick it up so she can return it, she explains.
Faltering Competition

China's biggest e-commerce website: Taobao

  • 30,000 online store
  • 53,000 items sold every minute
When they questioned shoppers, researchers found that there was widespread dissatisfaction with the face-to-face experience whilst shopping.
Shop assistants are often younger migrant workers from outside the city, hence they are different in age, income and outlook from the customers.
Many of them do not know much about the products they are selling, so savvy shoppers buying for example consumer electronics know they need to do their research online before they buy.
Once they are doing that, it is not a huge jump to make the purchase online, avoiding the shop assistants all together.
"We found that often one person in a group of friends would go to a store to check out a new phone model or tablet computer," says Sam Mulligan.
"Then they will go back home and if they're impressed they'll discuss it with their friends using social media. Then the friends can buy. Not everyone needs to go to the store."
Building trust
Without the expensive overheads of a physical store, virtual stores can undercut the High Street substantially.
Consumers also believe websites are more reliable, the researchers discovered, an attitude different to that found in European countries or the United States where some people worry that they are more likely to be sold fakes online than in real shops.
In China, where there are fakes on every corner it seems, buying directly from the manufacturer on their website makes shoppers feel more comfortable.
This does not mean that brands lose money, of course. Many people prefer to buy from brands' own sites.
But it does mean big brands might have to rethink their traditional retail model to make the most of the Chinese market, if it is based on selling in real stores.
Some are already doing this. The new Apple Store in Shanghai, for example, looks much more like a showroom than a place to buy anything.
The researchers claim, based on their study in Shanghai, that China's retail sector will develop differently to that seen in the rest of the world, with e-commerce gaining a stronger foothold and becoming a more important way of selling than the traditional means in the years ahead.
The biggest e-commerce website here, Taobao, has a section called Taobao Mall that now hosts 30,000 online stores.
Some 53,000 items are sold on Taobao every minute of the day.
No wonder you do not see long queues at the tills in many of the shops here.
That is because a lot of people are shopping from their sofas instead.

From BBC

Monday, March 7, 2011

Martin Jacques- Understanding the Rise of China

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Sunday, March 6, 2011

China to increase social spending

China budget increases social spending

Government also plans to tackle deficit, inflation

The Associated Press
China's government promised Saturday to clamp down on inflation and urgently raise incomes as it pushes to spread the benefits of economic growth at a time when living standards are rising but so are popular calls for greater change.
In a more than two-hour speech that is China's equivalent to a state-of-the-nation address, Premier Wen Jiabao vowed to boost assistance to working class, rural Chinese and pensioners, build more affordable housing, exempt lower-income citizens from taxes and raise spending on education and health insurance.
Along with increased social spending, Wen said pulling down inflation and closing the wide rich-poor gap were top priorities. He directly linked their urgent resolution to the need to keep people happy and stave off unrest while the government slows the breakneck growth of recent years to a more sustainable level.
"We must make improving the people's lives a pivot linking reform, development and stability ... and make sure people are content with their lives and jobs, society is tranquil and orderly and the country enjoys long-term peace and stability," Wen told the 2,923 delegates gathered in the Great Hall of the People for the opening of the national legislature's annual session.
Security, always suffocating during the congress, is absolutely smothering this year following calls of unknown origin posted on the internet for Chinese to imitate the popular protests that unseated autocrats in Tunisia and Egypt. A new appeal called for more protests Sunday, the third in a row, though the previous two have attracted onlookers, journalists and swarms of police, but few outright demonstrators.
Outside the hall on nearby Tiananmen Square, police led away at least eight people, likely among the many petitioners from all over China who try to sneak past security cordons to come to Beijing during the 10-day National People's Congress to seek help with grievances.

Growth benefits cities over rural communities

Though he pronounced himself pleased with China's impressive development of recent years — he cited the 9 per cent growth in incomes in rural and urban areas in the past five years — Wen also listed significant pitfalls: growth that benefits the cities and industries over farmers and services, environmental degradation, and excessive investment causing asset bubbles, especially in housing.
Chief among the problems Wen targeted was inflation, which has hovered around 5 per cent in recent months and especially affects poorer Chinese who spend larger parts of their incomes on food.
"This problem concerns the people's well-being, bears on overall interests and affects social stability," Wen said. He said the government would continue to impose price controls as needed, raise price supports for wheat and rice, and increase the supply of key commodities by building up reserves to be released into the market when needed.The centerpiece of Wen's program — certain to be approved by the Communist Party-controlled congress — is a five-year plan that outlines an ambitious transformation: moving the economy from its dependence on state investment and exports to one driven by consumption.
If accomplished, the change would boost household spending power through higher wages, level the playing field for private companies and end policies that have effectively shortchanged consumers and channeled savings to the favoured state-owned enterprises.The move would also likely reduce friction with the United States and other trading partners as China imports more to, Wen said, "correct trade imbalances."

Real estate barons take advantage of cheap loans

Getting there, however, would require altering the successful formula that has helped propel China to the world's No. 2 economy. It would also challenge deep-seated interests — from state companies and real estate barons who have benefited from cheap bank loans to politicians whose careers have benefited from the resulting high rates of growth.
Just when it needs cohesion, the leadership is also in the midst of an always contentious transition. Wen, President Hu Jintao and most other members of the Politburo Standing Committee are expected to begin stepping aside late next year for a new generation of technocrats.
In a sign of friction, Wen's program sets a normal target of about 8 per cent economic growth this year, falling to 7 per cent annually for the 2011-15 period, hoping to downshift to better quality growth. But most provincial and other local governments have set higher rates, some in double digits.
Perhaps the biggest challenge for Beijing is empowering consumers without encouraging them to demand greater political rights. Protests have proliferated in pace with affluence over the past decade. Chinese scholars, extrapolating from state media reports, estimate that large-scale demonstrations, strikes and other mass disturbances reached 180,000 last year — a doubling in five years.
Wen twice mentioned the unauthorized confiscation of farm land and illegal demolition of houses. He also pledged a more vigorous fight against corruption, especially making senior officials report theirs and their families' incomes and stop selling off land for development. All are common causes of protests as local governments try to boost growth through construction.
Closing the income gap, however, is at the heart of the leadership's efforts to calm a restive public that demands greater government accountability, if not political change.
"This is both a long-term task and an urgent issue we need to address now," Wen said. "Through unremitting efforts, we will reverse the trend of a widening income gap as soon as possible and ensure that the people share more in the fruits of reform and development."
Overall government spending will rise 12.5 per cent to $823 billion this year, a notch above last year's rate. Out of that, Wen said funds for building low-income housing will rise 30 per cent, to $15 billion. The government, he said, would also steadily raise the minimum wage, though he did not say by how much.
Wen, however, also struck an uncompromising line on dealing with unrest, suggesting that the security forces would continue to receive the hefty budget outlays of recent years.
A task force from elite Tsinghua University reported last year that spending on internal security nationwide was on par with the official defense budget and was expanding much faster. While the domestic security budget is unpublished, official military spending received a 12.7 per cent boost this year, to $91.5 billion.
Some members of the task force have questioned that smothering security — evidenced in recent weeks in Beijing in response to calls for a Middle East-style "Jasmine Revolution" — saying the costs are burdensome and it risks alienating the public and stifling appropriate demands for change.
© The Associated Press, 2011

Saturday, March 5, 2011

China's Next 5 Year Plan

China’s next 5 year plan

China's latest five-year plan for 2011 to 2015 seeks to achieve a more balanced approach to growth and development, focusing attention on the environment, livelihoods and what officials call "administrative reforms".
The 12th Five-Year Plan (FYP) is to be approved by the National People's Congress at its annual session beginning on 5 March.
The FYP is a key element in central planning. Copied originally from the Soviet system, it is an overarching strategy that shapes the nation's economic and social development.
It determines the allocation of resources among different sectors and industries, and sets rules for redistribution.
Since 1953, a total of 11 FYPs have been made and have expired, the targets they set for each period met or missed, and China's economy has grown to become the world's number two.
The Chinese policy-makers decided to replace the word "plan" with "guideline" in the previous five-year plan (2006 to 2010), to "reflect the transition from a centrally planned economy to a socialist market economy".
Replacing the word "plan", however, did not change the fact that it is still a model based on the political system of one-party rule.
It is still a state development programme initiated, formulated, implemented and managed by the government.
Environment focus
The latest FYP continues to advocate objectives set out in its three predecessors, such as to improve the quality of growth and to lay down the foundation for a moderately prosperous country.
In the current draft, environmental protection and energy conservation are identified as investment priorities.

“Start Quote

This is where many observers repeat a familiar line: the roadmap is clear but the political will to ensure targets are met is yet to be seen”
End Quote
This is backed up by specific targets: non-fossil fuel consumption should increase to account for 15% of the nation's total fuel consumption.
A projected $600bn (£370bn) is committed to growing sectors such as information technology, clean energy, environmental protection and scientific research and innovation, for example.
These steps are in line with the message from Environment Minister Zhou Shengxian earlier this week warning against unsustainable economic growth.
Mr Zhou said that the pursuit of rapid growth led to severe pollution and excessive demand for resources, two factors which in turn would become obstacles to economic and social development.
He suggested that the Ministry of Environment Protection be empowered to assess the environmental impact of future development projects.
Political will?
The 12th FYP also seeks to improve people's livelihoods, social infrastructure and safety nets, and to tackle rising inequality.
Expanding domestic consumption is seen by many as a key part of China's economic structural adjustment and achieving more balanced growth.
This is where many observers repeat a familiar line: the roadmap is clear but the political will to ensure targets are met is yet to be seen.
The fact that objectives such as "green growth" as set out in the previous FYPs reappear in the current one suggest that some administrative reforms are needed.
The authors of the 12th FYP admitted to local media that all goals spelt out in the plan pointed towards a more mature market economy and a more clearly defined, significantly reduced role of the state in the economy.
One of the reasons GDP growth has been less green than expected over the years, some argue, has to do with the state monopoly on resources and the single-minded pursuit of high GDP growth figures.
These have long been the only meaningful measurement of local government performance.

Friday, March 4, 2011

US says China is working towards rebalancing its trade

US says China is working towards rebalancing its trade

A shopper in Beijing Chinese economic success has seen a rise in income levels and an expanding consumer class

Related Stories

US Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner has said that China is taking steps to rebalance its trade policy, though more needs to be done.
The US has been one of the fiercest critics of China's trade policy.
It has accused China of keeping the value of it currency artificially low in order to boost foreign sales.
On Friday, the China Daily newspaper reported that China plans to cut tariffs on imports as it seeks to stoke domestic demand.
Right direction?
China is one of the biggest exporters in the world, but demand has weakened in markets such as the US and Europe.
"China understands they can no longer depend on demand from US consumption being such a substantial contributor to growth," Mr Geithner said during testimony to the US Senate Foreign Relations Committee.
"They have no alternative but to shift their growth strategy to a growth strategy that relies more on domestic demand," he added.
"They are moving in that direction but it can't happen unless they let their exchange rate move too."
Domestic measures
His comments come at a time when China is taking measures to boost domestic demand.
On Friday, China Daily quoted Vice-Commerce Minister Zhing Shan as saying that not only would the government cut import tariffs, but it would also ease restrictions on importers.
The vice-commerce minister was quoted as saying that an excessive trade surplus was not the goal of Chinese policy.
He added that one of China's goals was to maintain balanced trade.
In a separate measure, the State Council recommended on Thursday that income tax should to be cut in order to give more disposable income to Chinese consumers and workers.
China's trade surplus was $6.5bn (£4bn) in January.

Thursday, March 3, 2011

Drought in China

Long-term problems
Some 200 million people live across the north China plain. It is home to giant cities like Beijing and Tianjin which are expanding fast. But the area has water resources comparable to a desert country and every year as the population swells the water stress grows worse.
“The harsh reality is that there is simply not enough water” Ma Jun Chinese environmentalist
China's industries are inefficient, they consume far more water than those in developed countries. The country's construction boom means water use is even more intensive. Many of the rivers in the north have dried up. Dams have blocked their normal flow, the water diverted to towns, farms and factories. The northern megacities now rely on underground water sources for two-thirds of their needs. But the aquifers beneath places like Beijing are being drained, sinking as they are used faster than the rain can replenish them. Some fear the water could be gone in 30 years in places.
Ma Jun is one of China's most prominent environmentalists. Over a decade ago he wrote a book titled China's Water Crisis. As we walk along one of Beijing's dirty canals he tells me: "In China two-thirds of our cities are short of water.
Shifting water
"But the north China plain, where many of our biggest cities and industries are found, and which is China's breadbasket, is where our water is in shortest supply. So this drought now is making our long-term problems worse."
he biggest fear of all is that China, now an engine for the global economy, could find that lack of water constrains its future growth. "There is a growing understanding," Ma Jun says, "that we need to change, that our mode of growth is not sustainable. The harsh reality is that there is simply not enough water."
The country does have huge quantities of water, but they lie far to the south, in the massive rivers that run from west to east, 1,000km away from Beijing and the cities of the north.So China is pressing ahead with one of the world's biggest engineering schemes to shift the water northwards.
Fond of massive schemes, the country's Communist Party leaders are building the North-South water project, a giant series of canals and pipes to carry water from the Yangtze and Yellow rivers to Beijing. The cost of the project is a staggering $60bn (£36.8bn).
Standing on a giant crane looking down on one of the North-South construction sites you can see hundreds of workers welding and cutting iron bars, building huge metal moulds to make sections of concrete pipe.
Each section is around 10m (33ft) high, 8m (26ft) wide and 30m (99ft) long. When complete the North-South project will deliver the equivalent of 50,000 Olympic-size swimming pools full of water to cities in the north each day.
One of the men overseeing the site tells me that it is a great honour to take part in the project, a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity for a construction engineer.
But the scheme can only be a stopgap. The amount of water it will deliver will buy China time to change and, hopefully, become more efficient.
But it won't be enough to solve the country's water woes. China's thirst is just too great, and unless it alters its ways, millions might find one day, that their water could run dry.

Wednesday, March 2, 2011

China plans to repair 46,400 reservoirs over next five years

 Water will be one of the world's biggest problems in the next decade and China is experiencing drought conditions already.

China plans to repair 46,400 reservoirs over next five years

BEIJING - China will complete the maintenance of all dilapidated reservoirs over the next five years to combat floods and guard against the effects of geological disasters, Vice Minister of Water Resources Jiao Yong said Friday.
Speaking at a joint media briefing with the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) and the Ministry of Finance, Jiao said about 46,400 run-down small reservoirs need to be repaired and secured between 2011 and 2015.
 "The intensifying global climate change has resulted in more frequent extreme weather and devastating disasters, such as storms and floods, making those dilapidated reservoirs very vulnerable in our country's flood preventions projects," Jiao said.
"We have a lot of reservoirs that are dilapidated and this has caused serious hazards to the security of our flood prevention projects," he added.




To support those reservoir consolidation projects, China has planned investments totaling 62.54 billion yuan ($9.51 billion) over the next four years and 24.8 billion yuan ($3.77 billion) of special funds have been allocated by the central government to local governments this year.
From 2008 to 2010, China invested 64.48 billion yuan ($9.8 billion) to consolidate 7,356 large- and medium-size reservoirs, as well as key small reservoirs.
Currently, China has 87,000 reservoirs across the country. Most of them were built in the 1950s-1970s using low construction standards, according to officials.
Many of these reservoirs are now in serious disrepair, posing challenges to the prevention and control of mountain flood-triggered geological disasters in areas with a population of 130 million or more, according to the NDRC.